Análisis Botafogo SP vs Comercial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 3
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
MOG
1 - 2
BOT
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2008 |
OES
1 - 1
COM
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2008 |
COM
1 - 3
UNI
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
FER
3 - 1
COM
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
MOG
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 1
COM
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |