Análisis Botsuana vs Zambia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
19.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Botsuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 dic. 2004 |
LSO
1 - 1
BOT
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
KEN
22%
24%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 0
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 sep. 2004 |
GUI
4 - 0
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 ago. 2004 |
ZIM
2 - 0
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 2004 |
ZAM
4 - 5
ANG
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2004 |
YEM
2 - 2
ZAM
15%
21%
63%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
ZIM
4 - 5
ZAM
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
CGO
2 - 3
ZAM
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 0
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |