Paulista A3 Etapas Finales. Semifinal
Global 2-2
Análisis Olímpia FC vs Nacional SP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
43.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 abr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
OLI
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 4
OLI
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 2
RIO
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
Partidos
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 3
NAC
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 2
NAC
23%
24%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |