Análisis Brea vs Cella
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+30%
+55%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 2
CFB
41%
24%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
CFB
4 - 1
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
CFB
0 - 0
ALF
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2010 |
ICF
2 - 0
CFB
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
CFB
4 - 1
PED
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 3
UDM
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2010 |
LAA
4 - 2
CEL
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
CEL
4 - 2
CAL
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
GAR
2 - 0
CEL
48%
23%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 4
CDE
18%
22%
61%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |