Análisis Brea vs Montecarlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.36
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2010 |
LAA
1 - 1
CFB
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2010 |
CFB
6 - 0
CAL
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
GAR
1 - 1
CFB
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
CFB
1 - 3
CDE
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
SAA
5 - 0
CFB
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 2
UNI
11%
18%
71%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2010 |
UDM
4 - 0
LAA
16%
22%
62%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +3 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 1
UDM
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 0
GAR
43%
24%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
CDE
3 - 0
UDM
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |