Análisis Brescia vs Lecce
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 1
SAM
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
REG
0 - 0
BRE
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
CHI
3 - 1
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 1
ACM
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 3
LEC
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
ANC
0 - 2
LEC
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
LEC
0 - 1
LAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
REG
1 - 3
LEC
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |