Análisis Brescia vs Novara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+35%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
SSS
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 1961 |
BRE
0 - 0
ASS
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1961 |
INT
7 - 1
BRE
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
REG
4 - 1
NOV
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 ene. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 ene. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
TRI
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |