Análisis Brown Adrogué vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2009 |
SUA
0 - 2
BRO
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
BRO
3 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
TEM
1 - 1
BRO
57%
26%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 2
ESP
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
BRO
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
TAL
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 0
CCO
60%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
DEF
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
45%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |