Análisis Brusque vs Hercílio Luz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 2
FFL
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
BRU
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2021 |
BRU
4 - 0
JUV
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 2
BRU
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 0
AVA
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
CAC
31%
23%
45%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2021 |
FFL
3 - 0
HER
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
MET
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
HER
78%
17%
5%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | +2 |
| 20 mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |