Análisis Bufala vs Alella
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 nov. 2014 |
NOU
2 - 3
BUF
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2014 |
BUF
3 - 1
TPE
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 2014 |
TIA
1 - 1
BUF
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2014 |
BUF
0 - 0
MAT
25%
22%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
EMP
0 - 0
BUF
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Alella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2014 |
ALE
5 - 2
AMA
60%
19%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2014 |
LLA
6 - 2
ALE
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 2014 |
ALE
4 - 0
PIN
56%
21%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 2014 |
AJU
2 - 2
ALE
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
ALE
4 - 3
CFL
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |