Análisis Burgos vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.3%
Empate
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
19.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAD
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1976 |
REC
0 - 2
BUR
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 1976 |
CDT
2 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 dic. 1975 |
BUR
3 - 1
CCF
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 1975 |
GIM
1 - 1
BUR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1976 |
TUD
1 - 1
CEL
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1976 |
CEL
0 - 1
CDT
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 ene. 1976 |
CCF
1 - 0
CEL
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1975 |
CEL
2 - 0
GIM
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
CEL
27%
31%
42%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |