Análisis Mérida UD vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.3%
Empate
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
27.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 0
MER
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
MER
2 - 2
LOR
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
IMP
0 - 0
MER
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
ALF
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
MER
25%
26%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2009 |
ALC
5 - 1
UDF
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 1
ALC
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
ULP
0 - 0
ALC
39%
30%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
AGU
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |