Análisis Mérida UD vs Arroyo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
MER
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
DPC
76%
17%
8%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 3
ALC
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
UDS
0 - 2
MER
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
MIA
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
Partidos
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 2009 |
ARR
2 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
ARR
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
OLI
4 - 1
ARR
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
ARR
4 - 0
DPC
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
UDS
2 - 4
ARR
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |