Análisis Boca Juniors vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.35
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 1966 |
BOC
5 - 2
MIR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
NOB
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 3
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1966 |
MIR
1 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
36%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 2
ALI
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1966 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIR
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 2
RIV
37%
25%
39%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 feb. 1966 |
MIR
3 - 1
ALI
48%
21%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |