Análisis Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 3
BOC
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1979 |
BOC
2 - 0
ALB
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
BOC
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 1979 |
BOC
2 - 0
COL
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 1979 |
EST
6 - 4
BOC
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 1979 |
CEN
1 - 1
SLO
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1979 |
CEN
2 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1979 |
ATL
0 - 0
CEN
48%
28%
25%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1979 |
CEN
4 - 1
ALB
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1979 |
IND
1 - 2
CEN
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |