Análisis Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
66%
Probabilidad gana
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 2010 |
CHA
4 - 1
BOC
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2010 |
BOC
2 - 0
RIV
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
TIG
3 - 0
BOC
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2010 |
BOC
1 - 2
RAC
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2010 |
VEL
4 - 4
BOC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 2
HUR
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
IND
2 - 0
CEN
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 0
SLO
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2010 |
GLP
1 - 1
CEN
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 3
ARS
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |