Análisis Boca Juniors vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2009 |
BOC
2 - 1
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 2
BOC
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
SLO
1 - 1
BOC
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2009 |
BOC
2 - 3
BAN
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 may. 2009 |
BOC
3 - 0
TAC
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2009 |
MWA
2 - 4
DEF
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 2
BOC
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 2
DEF
19%
26%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |