Análisis Boca Juniors vs Independiente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.7%
Empate
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 2025 |
BOC
0 - 0
LAN
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2025 |
TIG
1 - 1
BOC
45%
28%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2025 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2025 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 3
BOC
48%
27%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2025 |
IND
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2025 |
IND
1 - 0
IRV
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2025 |
BOS
1 - 5
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2025 |
CEN
1 - 0
IND
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2025 |
ATT
2 - 0
IND
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |