Copa Libertadores Knock outs Octavos
Global 2-2
Análisis Boca Juniors vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ago. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
BOC
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
BOC
40%
29%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2023 |
BOC
2 - 1
NOB
47%
28%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BOC
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2023 |
GLP
1 - 3
BOC
34%
30%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ago. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
BOC
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
FEN
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 2
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
PLA
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |