Análisis Boca Juniors vs Peñarol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jul. 1986 |
RAC
1 - 1
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 1986 |
MWA
2 - 0
BOC
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 1986 |
BOC
0 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
BOC
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 jul. 1986 |
NOB
3 - 2
BOC
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
MWA
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
RIV
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
BOC
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 jul. 1986 |
MWA
3 - 1
PEÑ
3%
31%
66%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
29%
25%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |