Análisis CA Lugano vs Arg. Rosario
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
35.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.4%
Empate
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-31%
+64%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2011 |
CAA
2 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 2
VIC
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 feb. 2011 |
SMA
1 - 0
LUG
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 1
RIE
29%
29%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
YUP
1 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 1
CES
54%
24%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2011 |
CBA
1 - 0
ARR
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
ARR
6 - 0
PUE
65%
20%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 2010 |
ITU
1 - 1
ARR
43%
28%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
CAA
1 - 0
ARR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |