Análisis CA Lugano vs Def. Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
32%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 1
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2007 |
UAI
1 - 1
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
RIE
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 mar. 2007 |
DPA
2 - 2
LUG
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
ARQ
23%
25%
51%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 2007 |
LIN
4 - 1
CAD
59%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 1
CAD
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 2
BER
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2007 |
MID
5 - 1
CAD
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 mar. 2007 |
CAD
2 - 1
CAA
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |