Análisis CA Lugano vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.2%
Empate
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 2014 |
CAÑ
5 - 0
LUG
60%
25%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
CLA
29%
27%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
SBA
2 - 1
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 2014 |
YUP
0 - 2
LUG
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 4
POR
43%
28%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Partidos
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 2014 |
ALE
0 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2014 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
ALE
32%
30%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -3 |
| 22 sep. 2014 |
CLA
0 - 0
ALE
33%
28%
39%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
ALE
3 - 2
SBA
61%
23%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2014 |
YUP
0 - 2
ALE
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |