Análisis River Plate vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2004 |
RIV
3 - 0
EST
73%
17%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 2
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2004 |
TAC
0 - 0
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 2003 |
CIE
1 - 0
RIV
35%
24%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 2
RIV
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
12O
1 - 4
LIB
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 0
TOL
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 0
RIV
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |