Análisis Rosario Central vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52%
Probabilidad gana
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 3
RIV
46%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2016 |
IND
0 - 2
CEN
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
NOB
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
GOD
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
BOC
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
MWA
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 3
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
NAC
15%
24%
61%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
PEÑ
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |