Análisis Tigre vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 1
TIG
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2020 |
TIG
3 - 1
DAL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2020 |
RAF
3 - 2
TIG
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 1
TIG
49%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 oct. 2020 |
PAL
5 - 0
TIG
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 0
RIE
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 1
SMA
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 0
GIM
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 0
RSA
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |