Análisis Vélez Sarsfield vs Arsenal de Sarandí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2006 |
VEL
4 - 3
UNI
68%
21%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 0
BAN
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2006 |
NOB
1 - 0
VEL
35%
28%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 5
GIM
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
COL
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2006 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARS
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 1
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |