Análisis Vélez Sarsfield vs Arsenal de Sarandí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
TIG
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 0
VEL
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2013 |
NOB
0 - 1
VEL
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 3
NOB
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
VEL
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
NOB
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
ARS
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 3
SLO
58%
24%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
STR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARS
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |