Análisis Vélez Sarsfield vs Atletico Rafaela
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.65
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
VEL
33%
29%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 1
DYJ
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 nov. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 0
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 oct. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 2
TAL
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 dic. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 1
DYJ
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 3
RAF
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 nov. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 1
TAL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
RAF
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 2
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |