Análisis Vélez Sarsfield vs Lanús
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
31.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 1940 |
BOC
3 - 0
VEL
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1940 |
VEL
3 - 0
HUR
28%
20%
52%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 1940 |
RIV
4 - 0
VEL
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1940 |
NOB
3 - 1
VEL
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 1940 |
VEL
1 - 4
EST
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 1940 |
LAN
2 - 2
NOB
54%
19%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1940 |
EST
6 - 1
LAN
59%
18%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 1940 |
LAN
4 - 1
RAC
46%
20%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 oct. 1940 |
PLA
1 - 1
LAN
55%
19%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1940 |
LAN
3 - 0
CHA
69%
16%
16%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |