Análisis Vélez Sarsfield vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.66
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.9%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 1994 |
RIV
4 - 0
VEL
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
VEL
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1994 |
BOC
3 - 3
VEL
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1994 |
VEL
0 - 1
HUR
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1994 |
PAL
4 - 1
VEL
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
VEL
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1994 |
DEF
0 - 0
COL
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1994 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1994 |
COL
2 - 0
DEF
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |