Análisis Vélez Sarsfield vs Platense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1938 |
BOC
2 - 1
VEL
71%
16%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1938 |
VEL
4 - 0
CHA
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 1938 |
HUR
6 - 2
VEL
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 1938 |
VEL
3 - 2
RAC
50%
22%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 sep. 1938 |
TAL
0 - 0
VEL
32%
22%
46%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1938 |
PLA
1 - 1
HUR
48%
21%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1938 |
RAC
8 - 2
PLA
75%
13%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1938 |
PLA
4 - 1
TAL
72%
16%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1938 |
GLP
5 - 1
PLA
65%
17%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1938 |
PLA
2 - 4
RIV
35%
23%
42%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |