Conmebol Sudamericana . Cuartos
Global 4-3
Análisis Vélez Sarsfield vs U. Católica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
41.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2020 |
PAT
0 - 0
VEL
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 5
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 1
GLP
55%
26%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 0
CAL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 2
VEL
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 2
UCO
35%
25%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 2020 |
UCO
5 - 3
ANT
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2020 |
COQ
2 - 1
UCO
21%
24%
56%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSL
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |