Análisis Cabecense vs A. Cerro Águila
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 2
CAB
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
CAB
4 - 0
ADS
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
DHE
1 - 3
CAB
19%
23%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
CAB
4 - 0
ARH
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAB
30%
25%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2011 |
SOL
1 - 4
CIS
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
BRE
5 - 1
SOL
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
SOL
2 - 1
LCF
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
ADS
2 - 0
SOL
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
SOL
2 - 1
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |