Análisis Cabecense vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 0
CAB
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
CAB
0 - 2
SAN
18%
24%
58%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 abr. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
CAB
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 0
SEV
26%
27%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAB
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
LEB
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
LUC
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CON
23%
24%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
SRO
2 - 0
LUC
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 0
LUC
74%
18%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |