Análisis Cabecense vs UD Marinaleda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.09
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+762%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAB
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
CAB
2 - 1
VIS
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
MSQ
1 - 1
CAB
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2004 |
CAB
4 - 2
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 1
CAB
29%
26%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
ADC
1 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
SUE
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2004 |
SMA
0 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 oct. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |