Análisis Caen II vs Concarneau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 2
VCH
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 feb. 2012 |
LAV
0 - 0
CAE
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 feb. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 3
CAE
61%
22%
16%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 0
PON
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
Partidos
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2012 |
CON
5 - 0
LEH
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +3 |
| 18 feb. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
PAC
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
LEM
1 - 1
CON
60%
23%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |