Análisis Caen vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
CAE
32%
30%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1999 |
CAE
2 - 1
NÎM
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 oct. 1999 |
STL
1 - 1
CAE
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 2
GUI
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 4
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
LMU
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 0
AJA
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
ESW
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 oct. 1999 |
TFC
4 - 1
AJA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 0
CSL
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |