Ligue 1 Jor. 5

Análisis Caen vs Lens

Caen Lens
79 ELO 86
-6.8% Tilt -1.2%
1120º Ranking ELO general 41º
42º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
33.2%
Caen
28%
Empate
38.8%
Lens

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Caen
1.11
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Lens
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Caen
-10%
-3%
Lens

Progresión del ELO

Caen
Lens
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 ago. 2004
AUX
Auxerre
1 - 0
Caen
CAE
65%
21%
14%
78 89 11 0
21 ago. 2004
CAE
Caen
1 - 0
Monaco
MON
18%
25%
57%
78 91 13 0
14 ago. 2004
PSG
PSG
2 - 2
Caen
CAE
71%
18%
11%
77 89 12 +1
07 ago. 2004
CAE
Caen
1 - 1
Istres
IST
58%
24%
18%
77 73 4 0
22 may. 2004
CAE
Caen
3 - 0
Troyes
TRO
47%
26%
28%
76 77 1 +1

Partidos

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 ago. 2004
LEN
Lens
1 - 1
Monaco
MON
28%
27%
45%
86 91 5 0
21 ago. 2004
IST
Istres
0 - 2
Lens
LEN
26%
27%
46%
86 73 13 0
14 ago. 2004
LEN
Lens
3 - 0
Saint-Étienne
ASS
63%
22%
15%
85 78 7 +1
07 ago. 2004
TFC
Toulouse
0 - 0
Lens
LEN
32%
29%
40%
85 80 5 0
23 may. 2004
LMU
Le Mans
3 - 0
Lens
LEN
31%
28%
41%
86 78 8 -1