Análisis Caen vs Lille
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 1998 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1998 |
CAE
3 - 1
RED
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 1998 |
NÎM
3 - 1
CAE
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1998 |
CAE
2 - 0
TRO
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1998 |
LMU
2 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 1998 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIO
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1998 |
SED
1 - 1
LIL
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 1998 |
LIL
2 - 2
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1998 |
AMI
1 - 3
LIL
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 nov. 1998 |
LIL
1 - 3
AJA
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |