Análisis Caen vs Valenciennes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2005 |
REI
2 - 0
CAE
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2005 |
LUS
3 - 2
CAE
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 may. 2005 |
IST
3 - 2
CAE
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 may. 2005 |
TFC
2 - 3
CAE
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 may. 2005 |
CAE
2 - 0
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 0
GRE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2005 |
FCG
2 - 0
VAL
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 jul. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 1
DIJ
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2005 |
VAL
1 - 1
BAY
66%
22%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 may. 2005 |
NÎM
2 - 2
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |