Análisis Caen vs Valenciennes


78	ELO	82
-9.1%	Tilt	11.2%
1122º	Ranking ELO general	1471º
42º	Ranking ELO país	51º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria

39.6%

Caen

27.8%

Empate

32.6%

Valenciennes

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

39.6%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.26
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%

27.8%

Empate

0-0

9.3%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.8%

32.6%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

-13%

-4%

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Caen

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 feb. 2011	GIR 1 - 2 CAE 67% 20% 13%	78	88	10	0
05 feb. 2011	CAE 0 - 2 LOR 33% 27% 40%	78	84	6	0
29 ene. 2011	CAE 2 - 0 AUX 31% 28% 41%	77	85	8	+1
22 ene. 2011	LEN 2 - 0 CAE 49% 25% 26%	78	81	3	-1
15 ene. 2011	BRE 1 - 3 CAE 42% 26% 32%	77	77	0	+1

Partidos

Valenciennes

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
13 feb. 2011	VAL 3 - 0 BRE 58% 25% 18%	81	77	4
05 feb. 2011	LEN 1 - 1 VAL 49% 26% 25%	81	81	0
29 ene. 2011	VAL 2 - 1 LYO 21% 24% 56%	81	89	8
15 ene. 2011	MPL 2 - 1 VAL 47% 27% 27%	81	82	1
08 ene. 2011	ANG 2 - 1 VAL 27% 27% 45%	81	68	13