Análisis Caen vs Valenciennes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 2
MAR
16%
23%
61%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2011 |
LYO
0 - 0
CAE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 0
MPL
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
CAE
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
LEN
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
BVB
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAL
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
AUX
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
VAL
40%
29%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |