Segunda Gales Football League Jor. 4

Análisis Caerau Ely vs Penybont

Caerau Ely Penybont
26 ELO 53
21.3% Tilt 10.5%
5281º Ranking ELO general 2072º
36º Ranking ELO país 10º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
17.4%
Caerau Ely
22.2%
Empate
60.4%
Penybont

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Caerau Ely
0.89
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Penybont
1.87
Goles esperados
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Caerau Ely
-24%
+45%
Penybont

Progresión del ELO

Caerau Ely
Penybont
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Caerau Ely
Caerau Ely
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 ago. 2013
CAE
Caerau Ely
4 - 0
Aberdare Town FC
ABE
20%
20%
61%
21 37 16 0
21 ago. 2013
CAE
Caerau Ely
1 - 1
Taffs Well
TAF
21%
20%
59%
20 36 16 +1
16 ago. 2013
ABE
Aberbargoed Buds
1 - 1
Caerau Ely
CAE
69%
17%
14%
20 28 8 0
02 feb. 2013
CAE
Caerau Ely
1 - 3
Flint Town United
FLI
24%
19%
57%
22 36 14 -2
08 dic. 2012
HOL
Holywell
0 - 2
Caerau Ely
CAE
81%
13%
6%
21 51 30 +1

Partidos

Penybont
Penybont
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 ago. 2013
PEN
Penybont
3 - 0
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
77%
15%
8%
53 33 20 0
20 ago. 2013
PEN
Penybont
3 - 0
Tata Steel F.C
TAT
82%
13%
5%
53 20 33 0
16 ago. 2013
TON
Ton Pentre
1 - 0
Penybont
PEN
18%
23%
60%
54 33 21 -1