Análisis Caernarfon Town FC vs Penybont
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
73.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.49
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2020 |
CAE
3 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2020 |
CAE
4 - 0
CEF
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2020 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAL
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2020 |
ABE
0 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |