Análisis Caersws vs Connah's Quay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-61%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAE
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAE
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 0
ABE
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2003 |
POR
0 - 2
CAE
25%
24%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 ago. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 0
HAV
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2003 |
CON
0 - 4
ABE
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2003 |
CON
0 - 1
HAV
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 ago. 2003 |
CON
1 - 3
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2003 |
CON
2 - 1
LID
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |