Análisis Caersws vs Connah's Quay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-42%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 0
CAE
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 1
POR
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2005 |
WEL
2 - 3
CAE
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2005 |
CAE
2 - 0
LLA
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAE
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
CWM
40%
25%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2005 |
CAE
1 - 1
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2005 |
CON
0 - 2
ABE
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2005 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2005 |
WEL
0 - 1
CON
46%
24%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |