Análisis Caersws vs Porthmadog
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-64%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
CAE
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAN
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAE
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 5
LLA
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2008 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2008 |
POR
2 - 6
ABE
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2008 |
TNS
4 - 1
POR
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
WEL
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2008 |
HAV
3 - 2
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |