Análisis Cagliari vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2007 |
CAG
0 - 2
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAG
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 0
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2007 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAG
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
CAG
0 - 2
LAZ
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2007 |
MES
0 - 3
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
MES
2 - 0
PAL
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2007 |
EMP
3 - 1
MES
54%
25%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
MES
1 - 0
SIE
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |