Coppa Italia 1/16

Análisis Cagliari vs Modena

Cagliari Modena
80 ELO 75
8.8% Tilt -9.3%
93º Ranking ELO general 442º
18º Ranking ELO país 34º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
60.4%
Cagliari
21.6%
Empate
18%
Modena

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Cagliari
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
Modena
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Cagliari
Modena
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Cagliari
Cagliari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 nov. 2014
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 4
Fiorentina
FIO
30%
27%
43%
80 88 8 0
23 nov. 2014
NAP
Napoli
3 - 3
Cagliari
CAG
79%
14%
7%
80 90 10 0
09 nov. 2014
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Genoa
GEN
47%
26%
28%
80 81 1 0
03 nov. 2014
LAZ
Lazio
4 - 2
Cagliari
CAG
68%
20%
13%
81 87 6 -1
29 oct. 2014
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Milan
ACM
22%
23%
55%
80 89 9 +1

Partidos

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 nov. 2014
CRO
Crotone
1 - 4
Modena
MOD
36%
27%
37%
74 67 7 0
22 nov. 2014
MOD
Modena
2 - 0
Pescara
PES
52%
25%
23%
73 68 5 +1
08 nov. 2014
MOD
Modena
1 - 2
Avellino
AVE
50%
26%
24%
74 70 4 -1
02 nov. 2014
VAR
Varese
2 - 1
Modena
MOD
38%
27%
36%
74 67 7 0
28 oct. 2014
VIC
Vicenza
0 - 2
Modena
MOD
28%
28%
45%
73 62 11 +1